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So far puricassarag has created 132 blog entries.

May 2017

Economic Outlook – 21 May 2017


US Industrial production jumped 1.0% in April, surpassing expectations for a more modest increase. The series is now 2.2% above its year-ago level, which marks the strongest pace since 2014. The report details showed broad-based strength, as production rose across most household and business goods. Notably, manufacturing output climbed 1.0% on the month, and with [...]

Man vs. Machine


Guest Post by Monogram Capital Management. The overwhelming and indeed frequently published evidence that active funds across all asset classes are the poorly performing cousins of their passive rivals should come as no surprise given the large number of clever researchers doing their earnest best to ensure market efficiency1. Furthermore, the gold standard investment management [...]

Economic Outlook – 14 May 2017


US The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index kicked off the week with a small decline of 0.2 points in April. The decline was led by a drop in expectations for improvement in the economy, which fell 8 points following the initial unsuccessful attempt to replace the Affordable Care Act. Despite [...]

Economic Outlook – 7 May 2017


US The ISM manufacturing index showed factory sector activity had cooled a bit in April. The reading of 54.8 was the third consecutive decline and was lower than consensus. At 54.8, however, the index remains firmly in expansion territory and signals a clear improvement relative to the past couple years. The ISM’s service sector counterpart [...]

April 2017

Economic Outlook – 23 April 2017


US Housing market data released last week were generally mixed but continued to improve on trend. The NAHB / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell three points in April from its cycle-high in March. Despite the pullback, confidence remains relatively high. The present sales index has trended above 70 for five consecutive months, signalling strong [...]

Is the Car Loan Industry in the United States Set Up for a Crash?


In our earlier article titled ”The Deleveraging Myth and The Revival Of U.S. Real Estate Concerns“, we brought up the issue of household debt and, in particular, how this may affect the U.S. real estate market. However, if household debt is to become a key issue, there are other industries that may also suffer. One [...]

Economic Outlook – 16 April 2017


US Headline US retail sales fell in line with expectations in March, declining 0.20%. February’s already soft print was revised lower, however. Weakness in auto sales continued to weigh on the headline, with auto sales falling in four of the past five months. Control group retail sales, which filter directly into GDP, rose a better-than-expected [...]

Economic Outlook – 9 April 2017


US The six-month stretch of consecutive monthly increases in the ISM manufacturing headline ended in March, as the index dipped slightly from 57.7 to 57.2. Still, the measure of factory activity is solidly in expansion territory. Current production was the main drag on the headline, falling 5.3 points to a still-solid 57.6. The ISM survey [...]