puricassarag

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So far puricassarag has created 332 blog entries.

January 2024

Economic Outlook – 28 January 2024

2024-01-28T20:29:03+00:00

USA     Real GDP expanded 3.3% annualized in the fourth quarter, a lot more than the median economist forecast calling for a +2.0% print. Year on year, real GDP expanded 3.1%. Domestic demand grew at a healthy clip in the three months to December, supported by household consumption (+2.8% QoQ annualized) as well as [...]

Economic Outlook – 28 January 2024 2024-01-28T20:29:03+00:00

Economic Outlook – 21 January 2024

2024-01-22T03:45:05+00:00

USA     Retail sales rose 0.6% in December, overshooting the +0.4% print expected by consensus. The prior month’s result was left unchanged at +0.3%. Sales of motor vehicles and parts contributed positively to the headline print by advancing 1.1% in the final month of Q4. Without autos, retail outlays rose a consensus-topping 0.4% as [...]

Economic Outlook – 21 January 2024 2024-01-22T03:45:05+00:00

Economic Outlook – 14 January 2024

2024-01-14T18:40:17+00:00

USA     The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in December, more than the median economist forecast calling for a +0.2% print. The index had edged up 0.1% the month before. Prices in the energy segment progressed 0.4% as declines in two categories—fuel oil (-5.5%) and utility gas services (-0.4%)—were more than offset by gains [...]

Economic Outlook – 14 January 2024 2024-01-14T18:40:17+00:00

Economic Outlook – 7 January 2024

2024-01-07T23:40:01+00:00

USANonfarm payrolls rose 216K in December, more than the median economist forecast calling for a +175K print. This positive surprise, however, was offset by a -71K cumulative revision to the previous months ‘data. Employment in the goods sector in December advanced 22K thanks in large part to a 17K gain in the construction sector on [...]

Economic Outlook – 7 January 2024 2024-01-07T23:40:01+00:00

December 2023

Economic Outlook – 17 December 2023

2023-12-20T07:12:47+00:00

USA       The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose just 0.1% in November, amounting to a 3.1% year-to-year upswing. The headline print was muted by a downdraft in gasoline prices and ongoing moderation in food costs. In contrast, firmer services prices continue to prop up core inflation. A 0.3% monthly uptick in core prices [...]

Economic Outlook – 17 December 2023 2023-12-20T07:12:47+00:00

Economic Outlook – 10 December 2023

2023-12-11T16:20:28+00:00

USA     Nonfarm payrolls rose 199K in November, more than the median economist forecast calling for a +185K print. This positive surprise was offset by a -35K cumulative revision to the previous thanks in large part to a 28K gain in the manufacturing sector. Construction payrolls also expanded (+2K), but only marginally. Jobs in [...]

Economic Outlook – 10 December 2023 2023-12-11T16:20:28+00:00

June 2023

Economic Outlook – 18 June 2023

2023-06-18T19:30:37+00:00

USA The Consumer Price Index edged up a consensus-matching 0.1% in May. Prices in the energy segment dropped 3.6% on declines for fuel oil (-7.7%), gasoline (-5.6%), and utility gas services (-2.6%). The cost of food, meanwhile, advanced 0.2%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4% in line with the median economist forecast. [...]

Economic Outlook – 18 June 2023 2023-06-18T19:30:37+00:00

February 2021

Economic Outlook – 21 February 2021

2021-02-22T09:39:15+00:00

US The Markit flash composite PMI came in at 58.8 in February (vs. 58.7 the prior month), signalling the broadest improvement in private-sector activity in almost 6 years. The degree of optimism towards future output remained very high, with rollouts of vaccines acting as a confidence booster.The manufacturing sub-index edged down from 59.2 to 58.5, [...]

Economic Outlook – 21 February 2021 2021-02-22T09:39:15+00:00

Economic Outlook – 14 February 2021

2021-02-14T18:56:52+00:00

US The Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% in January, in line with consensus expectations. It had climbed 0.2% each of the two previous months.The energy component sprang 3.5% thanks in part to a 7.4% jump in the gasoline segment.The cost of food rose 0.1% on a 0.3% advance in the “food away from home” category.The [...]

Economic Outlook – 14 February 2021 2021-02-14T18:56:52+00:00

Economic Outlook – 7 February 2021

2021-02-07T18:31:18+00:00

US January nonfarm payrolls rose 49K, less than the +105K print expected by consensus. The negative surprise was compounded by a 159K downward revision to the prior months’ results.The private sector added 6K jobs in January.Goods sector employment edged down 4K as a gain in the mining/logging segment (+9K) was more than offset by small [...]

Economic Outlook – 7 February 2021 2021-02-07T18:31:18+00:00