Monthly Archives: October 2020

October 2020

Economic Outlook – 25 October 2020

2020-10-25T19:57:04+00:00

US The September existing home sales report reinforced the notion that the housing market remains a bright spot, even as most sectors of the economy continue to struggle under the weight of the pandemic. After gains moderated in the two months prior, resale activity surged by 9.4% in Sep­tember, blowing expectations out of the water. [...]

Economic Outlook – 25 October 2020 2020-10-25T19:57:04+00:00

Economic Outlook – 18 October 2020

2020-10-18T21:17:19+00:00

US The latest inflation report should quiet the stagflation chatter that had emerged after a couple of hot months for core inflation. Both headline and core CPI rose a middling 0.2% in the month of September. However, re­moving an outsized 6.7% month-on-month increase in used vehicle prices leaves core inflation flat on the month. During [...]

Economic Outlook – 18 October 2020 2020-10-18T21:17:19+00:00

Economic Outlook – 11 October 2020

2020-10-12T08:27:08+00:00

US The Federal Reserve Chair Powell made a strong case for additional fiscal support in a speech last week. He noted that despite the rebound seen so far, the economy is still in a precarious state. Any slowing in the pace of recovery at this stage risks triggering “typical recessionary dynamics, as weakness feeds on [...]

Economic Outlook – 11 October 2020 2020-10-12T08:27:08+00:00

Economic Outlook – 4 October 2020

2020-10-04T19:09:23+00:00

US The release of employment data for the month of Septem­ber showed ongoing, albeit decelerating progress in the labor market recovery. Indeed, 661,000 payroll jobs were added last month, down from 1.5 million in August. Overall, 51.5% of non-farm payrolls lost since the pandemic be­gan have been recovered. The unemployment rate fell from 8.4% to [...]

Economic Outlook – 4 October 2020 2020-10-04T19:09:23+00:00