Economic Outlook

March 2021

Economic Outlook – 14 March 2021

2021-03-15T09:16:31+00:00

US • The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in February after climbing 0.3% the prior month. The result was in line with consensus expectations. o The energy component sprang 3.9% thanks in part to a 6.4% jump in the gasoline segment. o The cost of food, meanwhile, rose 0.2% on a 0.3% increase in the [...]

Economic Outlook – 14 March 2021 2021-03-15T09:16:31+00:00

Economic Outlook – 7 March 2021

2021-03-07T19:03:24+00:00

US • Nominal personal income spiked 10.0% in January as American households received the aid cheques included in the USD$900 billion stimulus package signed at the end of Donald Trump’s presidency. o Income derived from government transfers surged 52.6% to USD$5,734.1 billion (seasonally adjusted at annual rates) on a massive gain in the “other” transfer [...]

Economic Outlook – 7 March 2021 2021-03-07T19:03:24+00:00

February 2021

Economic Outlook – 28 February 2021

2021-02-28T18:37:06+00:00

US • Nominal personal income spiked 10.0% in January as American households received the aid cheques included in the USD$900-billion stimulus package signed at the end of Donald Trump’s presidency. o Income derived from government transfers surged 52.6% to USD$5,734.1 billion (seasonally adjusted at annual rates) on a massive gain in the “other” transfer segment [...]

Economic Outlook – 28 February 2021 2021-02-28T18:37:06+00:00

Economic Outlook – 21 February 2021

2021-02-22T09:39:15+00:00

US The Markit flash composite PMI came in at 58.8 in February (vs. 58.7 the prior month), signalling the broadest improvement in private-sector activity in almost 6 years. The degree of optimism towards future output remained very high, with rollouts of vaccines acting as a confidence booster.The manufacturing sub-index edged down from 59.2 to 58.5, [...]

Economic Outlook – 21 February 2021 2021-02-22T09:39:15+00:00

Economic Outlook – 14 February 2021

2021-02-14T18:56:52+00:00

US The Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% in January, in line with consensus expectations. It had climbed 0.2% each of the two previous months.The energy component sprang 3.5% thanks in part to a 7.4% jump in the gasoline segment.The cost of food rose 0.1% on a 0.3% advance in the “food away from home” category.The [...]

Economic Outlook – 14 February 2021 2021-02-14T18:56:52+00:00

Economic Outlook – 7 February 2021

2021-02-07T18:31:18+00:00

US January nonfarm payrolls rose 49K, less than the +105K print expected by consensus. The negative surprise was compounded by a 159K downward revision to the prior months’ results.The private sector added 6K jobs in January.Goods sector employment edged down 4K as a gain in the mining/logging segment (+9K) was more than offset by small [...]

Economic Outlook – 7 February 2021 2021-02-07T18:31:18+00:00

January 2021

Economic Outlook – 31 January 2021

2021-01-31T22:46:43+00:00

US The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in December after climbing 0.2% the prior month. This result was in line with consensus expectations.The energy index sprang 4.0% month-on-month thanks in large part to an 8.4% jump in the gasoline segment.The cost of food progressed 0.4% on advances for both “food away from home” (+0.4%) and [...]

Economic Outlook – 31 January 2021 2021-01-31T22:46:43+00:00

Economic Outlook – 24 January 2021

2021-01-24T18:55:46+00:00

US The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in December after climbing 0.2% the prior month. The energy index sprang 4.0% month-on-month thanks in large part to an 8.4% jump in the gasoline segment. The cost of food, meanwhile, progressed 0.4% on advances for both “food away from home” (+0.4%) and “food at home” (+0.4%). The [...]

Economic Outlook – 24 January 2021 2021-01-24T18:55:46+00:00

Economic Outlook – 17 January 2021

2021-01-17T15:49:39+00:00

US The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in December after climbing 0.2% the prior month. This result was in line with consensus expectations.The energy index sprang 4.0% month-on-month thanks in large part to an 8.4% jump in the gasoline segment.The cost of food, meanwhile, progressed 0.4% on advances for both “food away from home” (+0.4%) [...]

Economic Outlook – 17 January 2021 2021-01-17T15:49:39+00:00

Economic Outlook – 10 January 2021

2021-01-10T21:02:23+00:00

US The December nonfarm payrolls fell 140K, a result much worse than the +50K print expected by consensus. The negative surprise was partially offset by a 135K upward revision to the prior month’s results. The private sector shed 95K jobs while employment in the public sector dropped 45K. Without wishing to minimize the losses suffered [...]

Economic Outlook – 10 January 2021 2021-01-10T21:02:23+00:00